What the 2018 Midterm Exit Polls Are Saying About Latino Voters and Who They Supported

Nov 7, 2018
9:33 am

Now that the 2018 midterm elections have ended, a lot of analysis will begin about U.S. Latino voters and how they performed across different states and on a national level. Knowing that we will get more and more specific information in the future, we did want to at least some exit poll data about Latinos, both from the more mainstream National Election Pool (CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC) as well as from Latino Decisions’ Election Eve Poll, which LD did with Asian American Decisions and the African American Research Collaborative. This data does not cover every state that voted on Tuesday.

Here goes (graphics of National Election Poll are from CNN; the Election Eve Poll images are from Latino Decisions):

National Vote

National Election Pool

Latinos: 69% Democrat, 29% Republican

Latino men: 63% Democrat, 34% Republican; Latina women: 73% Democrat, 26% Republican

National Vote

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 74% Democrat, 24% Republican (also see breakdowns by state: note that TX went Republican and FL will likely go Republican)

Florida Senate Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 55% Democrat, 44% Republican

Latino men: 50% Democrat, 50% Republican; Latina women: 58% Democrat, 40% Republican

Florida Governor Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 56% Democrat, 42% Republican

Latino men: 50% Democrat, 46% Republican; Latina women: 59% Democrat, 40% Republican

Florida Senate and Governor Races

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 61% Democrat, 36% Republican (both races)

Texas Senate Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 64% Democrat, 35% Republican

Latino men: 62% Democrat, 37% Republican; Latina women: 66% Democrat, 34% Republican

Texas Governor Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 53% Democrat, 42% Republican

Latino men: 49% Democrat, 42% Republican; Latina women: 56% Democrat, 42% Republican

Texas Senate Race

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 74% Democrat, 24% Republican

Arizona Senate Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 69% Democrat, 31% Republican

Arizona Governor Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 55% Democrat, 44% Republican

Arizona Senate and Governor Races

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 75% Democrat, 22% Republican (Senate); 70% Democrat, 27% Republican (Governor)

Nevada Senate Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 67% Democrat, 30% Republican

Latino men: 57% Democrat, 39% Republican; Latina women: 76% Democrat, 22% Republican

Nevada Senator Race

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 71% Democrat, 25% Republican

Georgia Governor Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 60% Democrat, 38% Republican

California Senate Race

National Election Pool

Latinos: 43% Feinstein (Democrat), 50% De León (Democrat)

Latino men: 43% Feinstein (Democrat), 55% De León (Democrat); Latina women: 43% Feinstein (Democrat), 45% De León (Democrat)

California Senate Race

Election Eve Poll

Latinos: 44% Feinstein (Democrat), 46% De León (Democrat)

 

 

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