On Wednesday, Pew Research published a new report called “An early look at the 2020 electorate,” and once we checked it out, it were the following graphics and information that caught our attention:
“We project that the 2020 election will mark the first time that Hispanics will be the largest racial or ethnic minority group in the electorate, accounting for just over 13% of eligible voters—slightly more than blacks,” the Pew report said. “This change reflects the gradual but continuous growth in the Hispanic share of eligible voters, up from 9% in the 2008 presidential election and 7% in the 2000 election. The black eligible voter population has grown about as fast as the electorate overall, meaning their share has held constant at about 12% since 2000.”
According to Pew, the number of eligible Latinos who can vote in 2020 is estimated at 32 million, about two million more than eligible Black voters. (And yes, we know that we are comparing ethnicity with race here, so we don’t need those reminders. And yes, we know that the notion of “nonwhite” is complicated within Latino community.)
The study also said that the share of the election is becoming more nonwhite and even more foreign-born.
“A third of eligible voters will be nonwhite in 2020, up from about a quarter in 2000,” Pew noted. “This increase is at least partially linked to immigration and naturalization patterns: One-in-ten eligible voters in the 2020 election will have been born outside the U.S., the highest share since at least 1970.”
You can read the full report here.