This afternoon Puerto Rican governor Luis Fortuño formally requested a recount of the election he conceded two weeks ago to governor-elect Alejandro García Padilla.
According to a breaking news report by Puerto Rico's El Nuevo Día, the electoral head of island's pro-statehood New Progressive Party (PNP), Edwin Mundo, said that the initial preliminary certification by the island's official election commission (CEE) was not accurate and that the margin of García Padilla's victory will now be smaller, enough to ask for a recount.
With 100% of all precincts reporting, the CEE's main site shows the following tally.
Fortuño trails by García Padilla, the pro-commonwealth candidate, by 12,971 votes. The current tally falls outside the .5% margin that would trigger an automatic recount (the current margin is 69%). The voter spread is much more than the 100 vote spread that would also force a recount. The official letter from Mundo, according to END's piece, requests that once the .5% is reached, a manual recount should be made. However, according the END, the head of the CEE admitted that there are now about 20,000 votes that still need to be counted, and that the .5% could now be reached.
/grabs calculator/
I think it’s impossible to do the precise math on this because of the 5% that go to the third party. But assuming that 5% of remaining votes go to third part, hat means there would roughly be 19,000 votes that would be left. Of those votes, Fortuno would have to carry roughly 11,500 votes (57.5% of the 20,000) to trigger the recount. So unless there is some reason that uncounted ballots have a condition that heavily bias Fortuno, then I don’t see the recount being triggered.
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