The Latest Univision Poll Before Nevada Debate Shows Sanders Clearly in Lead With Latino Voters

Feb 18, 2020
11:45 PM

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders with his wife Jane O’Meara Sanders, speaks to supporters at a primary night election rally in Manchester, N.H., Tuesday, February 11, 2020. (AP Photo/Pablo Martínez Monsivais)

A new poll commissioned by Univision and the Latino Community Foundation the day before the February 19 Democratic Debate in Las Vegas showed that Bernie Sanders has a 11-point lead with Latino voters over Joe Biden in the February 22 Nevada Caucuses.

The poll also said that Sanders has a 9-point advantage over Biden with Latino voters nationally.

According to the poll, conducted by Latino Decisions and North Star Opinion Research between February 9 and February 14, Sanders got 33% support in Nevada, while Biden got 22%. Tom Steyer has 12% of Latino support in Nevada.

Nationally, Sanders got 31% of the vote, while Biden got 21%. In the national poll, Michael Bloomberg earned 18% of Latino support. Pete Buttigieg is still stuck at 5% on a national level.

The crosstabs are here:

The toplines are here:

The Univision Tuesday poll is a little bit different from the Telemundo Tuesday poll, which said that Sanders and Biden were in a statistical tie with Latinos.

The Univision poll shared the follow about its methodology:

About the poll: Univision Noticias partnered with the Latino Community Foundation to conduct a national survey of Latino registered voters, with an oversample of Latinos in Nevada. The poll was implemented from February 9 – 14, 2020 and a total of 1,306 Latino registered voters completed the survey. The national portion (n=1,000) contains a margin of error of +/- 3.1 and the Nevada portion (n=306) contains a margin of error of +/- 5.6. Democratic primary vote choice was asked of 667 respondents nationally and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.8 and in Nevada 210 Democratic voters, +/- 6.7. Surveys were administered in English or Spanish at the discretion of the respondent and included a mix of cell phone, landline telephone and online self-completed interviews. All respondents are confirmed to be registered to vote and that they consider themselves to be Hispanic or Latina/o. Respondents were randomly selected from the voter file and invitations for interviews were done by live caller or email. Invitations were bilingual at point of contact and allowed respondent to complete the interview in their language of choice. The survey was overseen by Dr. Sergio Garcia-Rios, director of polling for Univision, and administered in collaboration by Latino Decisions and North Star Opinion Research.

You decide.