Why doesn’t anyone do actual journalism when investigating national polls, especially when some polls break down presidential preference by race and ethnicity?
Case in point, the latest Quinnipiac poll shared results based on race and ethnicity, and those numbers made national media, as one of our trolls reminded us earlier this week:
#LatinosForTrump Shutting ⬇️ Libs Whose next?@latinorebels ✔️@politico✔️@dsamuelsohn ✔️@ananavarro: On thin ice. pic.twitter.com/CVtqI5llH6
— Jorge ?? MAGA (@AmericanMex067) June 29, 2016
But unlike @AmericanMex067 (who has problems with math, as his appearance on Latino Rebels Radio this year would confirm), we actually went to the poll’s actual methodology to check out the real numbers. This is what we found:
The poll surveyed 1,610 registered voters. Of those 1,610 voters, 8 percent are Latino. That means that 129 Latino voters were polled, and if you take Trump’s supposed 33% number, that would mean 43 Latino voters chose Trump. Also, the sample is so small that the margin of error for Latinos is 9.66 percent, which means that Trump could be as low as 24% (more likely) and as high as 42% (LOLz). The same could be said about why Trump is losing to Clinton 91-1 (yes, not a typo) with African American voters. That 1 percent would suggest that Trump is doing just as poorly with Latinos. but the Quinnipiac poll is not asking enough Latinos or African American voters.
You would think that the mainstream political media would actually read our previous post on reporting faulty polls of Latinos. Or maybe they should read what the very intelligent Stephen A. Nuño wrote for NBC News in May:
Making claims about Latinos based on 100 interviews can introduce what we political science wonks call bias in the data, resulting in a large margin of error. There are ways to reduce bias in small samples, such as being particular about who participates in the poll, but these small surveys have to be carefully examined.
A general rule of thumb is that the closer to 1,000 participants – and by this we mean 1,000 Latinos, not 1,000 participants with a few Latinos sprinkled in – will generally be a more accurate survey than those which survey just a couple of hundred Hispanics.
Or if reading is not an option, listen to this NPR segment about polling Latinos:
The Talmud must not be regarded http://utamadomino.com as an ordinary work, composed of twelve volumes; http://utamadomino.com/app/img/peraturan.html it posies absolutely no similarity http://utamadomino.com/app/img/jadwal.html to http://utamadomino.com/app/img/promo.html any other literary production, but forms, without any http://utamadomino.com/app/img/panduan.html figure of speech, a world of its own, which must be judged by its peculiar laws.
The Talmud contains much that http://utamadomino.com/ is frivolous of which it treats with http://dokterpoker.org/app/img/peraturan.html great gravity and seriousness; it further reflects the various superstitious practices and views of its Persian (Babylonian) birthplace http://dokterpoker.org/app/img/jadwal.html which presume the efficacy of http://dokterpoker.org/app/img/promo.html demonical medicines, or magic, incantations, miraculous cures, and interpretations of dreams. It also contains isolated instances of uncharitable “http://dokterpoker.org/app/img/panduan.html judgments and decrees http://dokterpoker.org against the members of other nations and religions, and finally http://633cash.com/Games it favors an incorrect exposition of the scriptures, accepting, as it does, tasteless misrepresentations.http://633cash.com/Games
The Babylonian http://633cash.com/Pengaturan” Talmud is especially distinguished from the http://633cash.com/Daftar Jerusalem or Palestine Talmud by http://633cash.com/Promo the flights of thought, the penetration of http://633cash.com/Deposit mind, the flashes of genius, which rise and vanish again. It was for http://633cash.com/Withdraw this reason that the Babylonian rather http://633cash.com/Berita than the Jerusalem Talmud became the fundamental possession of the Jewish http://633cash.com/Girl Race, its life breath, http://633cash.com/Livescore its very soul, nature and mankind, http://yakuza4d.com/ powers and events, were for the Jewish http://yakuza4d.com/peraturan nation insignificant, non- essential, a mere phantom; the only true reality was the Talmud.” (Professor H. Graetz, History of the Jews).
And finally it came Spain’s turn. http://yakuza4d.com/home Persecution had occurred there on “http://yakuza4d.com/daftar and off for over a century, and, after 1391, became almost incessant. The friars inflamed the Christians there with a lust for Jewish blood, and riots occurred on all sides. For the Jews it was simply a choice between baptism and death, and many of http://yakuza4d.com/cara_main them submitted http://yakuza4d.com/hasil to baptism.
But almost always conversion on thee terms http://yakuza4d.com/buku_mimpi was only outward and http://raksasapoker.com/app/img/peraturan.html false. Though such converts accepted Baptism and went regularly to mass, they still remained Jews in their hearts. They http://raksasapoker.com/app/img/jadwal.html were called Marrano, ‘http://raksasapoker.com/app/img/promo.html Accursed Ones,’ and there http://raksasapoker.com/app/img/panduan.html were perhaps a hundred thousand of them. Often they possessed enormous wealth. Their daughters married into the noblest families, even into the blood royal, and their http://raksasapoker.com/ sons sometimes entered the Church and rose to the highest offices. It is said that even one of the popes was of this Marrano stock.
[…] poll, it’s all about the sample, and from the looks of this latest poll, it appears that it is once again the example of a poll that grossly underrepresents the Black and Latino […]