2022 Elections: Latinos See Gains, But Many Races Still Too Close to Call

Nov 9, 2022
12:43 PM

Robert Garcia, a Peruvian American and the current mayor of Long Beach, will become the first openly gay immigrant member of the House after beating Republican John Briscoe in California’s 42nd congressional district. (Courtesy of the City of Long Beach/Office of the Mayor)

Latinos have increased their representation at all levels of government after every election in recent memory, and the 2022 elections could see their numbers expand by leaps and bounds.

Latinos were running for top offices across 44 states, with political observers predicting a “historic” rise in Latino representation. This demographic change in government mirrors that in the U.S. population itself, with Latinos now making up about one in 10 voters.

Some elections —particularly in battleground states— have yet to be called, but even still, Latinos have made clear gains throughout the government.

Latinos in the Senate

U.S. Senate races were crucial to either keeping or gaining a partisan advantage in the chamber for Democrats and Republicans, respectively. Three out of six Latino incumbents were running in 2022.

Latina Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) faced former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) in one of the most serious Senate challenges of 2022. While the race has yet to be called, Laxalt led by a near three-point margin over Cortez Masto at the time of this reporting.

The first Latina senator in U.S. history, Cortez Masto ran on a relatively progressive platform, promising to help strengthen Nevada’s economy through clean energy and expanding access to healthcare. Meanwhile, her rival continually supported former President Donald Trump’s election denial.

“I am confident in the campaign that we’ve built to win,” Cortez Masto tweeted on Election Night. “¡La lucha sigue! (The fight continues!)”

As political observers predicted, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) handily beat Rep. Val Demings (D) by a more than 16-point margin in a race that Democrats were watching closely. A Futuro Media poll of Florida Latino voters found that Latino voters leaned towards Sen. Rubio, who had a 50 percent favorability rating while Demings only had 36 percent favorability.

Meanwhile, Sen. Alex Padilla (D-CA) –who was appointed by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom to fill the empty seat left by Vice President Kamala Harris— trounced Mark P. Meuser (R) with a nearly 25-point lead. Sen. Padilla is the first Latino elected to represent California.

Latinos in the U.S. House of Representatives

In the lead up to Election Day, there were 38 Latino members of the U.S. House of Representatives, 20 of whom were Democrats and 10 Republicans. With 45 Latinos running for House seats, Latinos were predicted to make the biggest leap in history.

At least five new Latinos will occupy seats previously occupied by non-Latinos in Congress.

Some of the most competitive races for the House were in Florida, New Mexico, California, and Texas.

Maxwell Alejandro Frost (D) became Gen Z’s first member of the House after beating retired Green Beret Col. Calvin Wimbish (R) in Florida’s 10th congressional district. Congressman-elect Frost, a former March for Our Lives organizer, ran on a platform of stricter gun control and opposing abortion rights restrictions.

“History was made tonight,” Frost tweet on Tuesday night. “We made history for Floridians, for Gen Z, and for everyone who believes we deserve a better future.”

Meanwhile, Republican Rep. María Elvira Salazar handily defeated Democratic state Sen. Annette Taddeo in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a race that Democrats thought would be much more competitive. Following the Republican line, one of Salazar’s main talking points has been that Latino voters “don’t want open borders,” which Futuro’s Florida poll confirmed.

Air Force veteran Anna Paulina Luna (R) won her race in Florida’s 13th district against Eric Lynn (D), a former adviser to President Obama. She is making history as Florida’s first-ever Mexican American woman in Congress.

In New Mexico’s 2nd district, Las Cruces City Councilmember Gabe Vasquez (D) and U.S. Rep Yvette Herrell (R) remained in a dead heat, with Vasquez ahead by less than one point at press time.

The rematch between Republican Rep. Mike Garcia and former Democratic Assemblymember Christy Smith in California’s 25th district will likely be as close as their original battle, which Garcia won by a narrow 333 votes in 2020. At press time, Garcia was leading the race.

In California’s 42nd district, Robert Garcia, a Peruvian American and the current mayor of Long Beach, will become the first openly gay immigrant member of the House after beating Republican John Briscoe.

Redistricting caused Latinos to face off against each other in two races in Texas.

Republican Rep. Mayra Flores —who won a June 2022 special election in the 34th district— competed against Democratic Rep. Vicente González, whose home was moved into the 34th and whose 14th district became more Republican. Rep. González beat Rep. Flores, who was planning to ride the “red wave” predicted by Republicans but which never materialized.

Latinas faced off against each other in Texas’ 15th district as well, where Republican entrepreneur Monica De La Cruz defeated Democratic small business owner Michelle Vallejo by nearly nine points.

While their races have not been called yet, several Latinas are set to make history by becoming the first to ever represent their states in Congress.

In Oregon’s 6th district, state Rep. Andrea Salinas (D) has a close lead and is likely to win over business owner Mike Erickson (R). Meanwhile, in the 5th district, Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) had a four-point edge over Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) at press time.

Democratic state Rep. Yadira Caraveo, a pediatrician by training, could also make history in Colorado’s 8th district against Republican state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer. At press time, Caraveo led by a near two-point margin.

Republican Juan Ciscomani, a former senior adviser to Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, faced off against Democratic state Rep. Kirsten Engel. At press time, state Engel led by less than a one-point margin, and it looked like the race would go to Ciscomani.

If he wins, he would become the first Latino Republican to represent the Copper State.

Roughly a third of Arizona’s population, Latinos are crucial for politicians if they hope to win the state.

In Connecticut, state Sen. George Logan (R), who was looking to become the first Latino to represent his state in the House, will likely lose against Democratic incumbent Jahana Hayes.

Meanwhile, the race between Democratic California Assemblymember Rudy Salas Jr. and Republican incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) remains a tossup.

First-time hopeful Yesli Vega (R) lost to Rep. Abigail Spanberger in Virginia’s 7th congressional district, and Nebraska state Sen. Tony Vargas (D) also lost his race against incumbent Rep. Don Bacon (R). Had Vega and Vargas won, they would have been the first Latinos to represent their respective states in the House.

The Latino Democrats that handily won their races are mostly in states where Latinos comprise a large share of the population, like Garcia in California’s 42nd district, Austin City Councilmember Greg Casar in Texas’ 35th district, and Port Authority Commissioner Robert Menendez Jr. in New Jersey’s 8th district.

Illinois state Rep. Delia Ramirez (D), a Guatemalan American, won her bid in the newly redrawn and predominately Latino 3rd district, becoming the first Latina member of Congress from the Midwest.

Latinos in Statewide Office

Of the 24 Latinos running for statewide offices across the country, 11 were incumbents. Some races remain to be called.

In Nevada, the race for lieutenant governor between Democratic incumbent Elizabeth Cano Burkhead and Republican Stavros Anthony, which is being watched closely by both parties, has yet to be called, though Anthony enjoyed a seven-point lead at press time.

Early results from California show Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara (D) and Public Construction Superintendent Tony Thurmond (NP) winning their races. Georgia Insurance Commissioner John King (R), born in Mexico and fluent in Spanish, is likely to win his race for reelection as well.

In New Mexico, incumbent Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) and her running mate, Lt. Gov. Howie Morales, won their races. Alongside Lt. Gov. Morales, two other Democrat Latino lieutenant governors, Sabina Matos (D) from Rhode Island and Antonio Delgado (D) from New York, also won their reelection races.

Stephanie Garcia Richard was also reelected as state commissioner of public lands in New Mexico. Community leader Audrey Trujillo (R) lost her race for secretary of state against Maggie Toulous Oliver (D). Public Regulation Commissioner Joseph Maestas (D), who ran unopposed, will become state auditor, and Democrat Raul Torrez won his race against Republican Jeremy Gay for attorney general.

Two Latinos remain in a tight race for state treasurer, with Sandoval County Treasurer Laura Montoya (D) enjoying a close lead over New Mexico School Board Association President Harry Montoya.

Florida’s first-ever Latina lieutenant governor, Jeanette Nuñez (R), won her bid for reelection against teacher Karla Hernandez-Mats (D).

In Illinois, Comptroller Susana Mendoza also won her race for reelection.

The most competitive races were generally those where a candidate was attempting to unseat an incumbent, such as Cudahy City Councilmember Jack Guerrero (R) who lost his race against California State Treasurer Fiona Ma (D), and attorney Rochelle Garza (D) who also lost against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.

In Arizona, state Sen. Martin Quezada (D) is about 10 points behind incumbent state Treasurer Kimberly Yee (R), and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes (D) was leading in his race for secretary of state at press time.

Former U.S. Rep. Raul Labrador (R) was also leading in his race for Idaho attorney general.

In Nevada’s race for secretary of state, 2020 election denier Jim Marchant (R) was leading by a one-point margin over former Nevada Athletic Commission Chair Cisco Aguilar (D). The race is being watched closely since Marchant is president of America First Secretary of State Coalition, a group of pro-Trump Republican candidates who believe the 2020 election was stolen from the former president and are looking to shape future elections nationwide by electing like-minded secretaries of state, an office which typically controls elections within a state.

“Every freedom runs through the ballot box,” Aguilar told Latino Rebels ahead of Election Day, calling Marchant the “most dangerous candidate in America” due to his rhetoric and his attempts to cancel early and mail-in voting.

In Rhode Island, former Central Falls Mayor James Diossa (D) won his race for state treasurer.

Even with many races yet to be called, it’s clear that Latinos have made gains in representation across all levels of government on both sides of the aisle.

But even with such gains, Latinos, who make up 19 percent of the U.S. population, remain underrepresented in Congress, comprising a mere nine percent of House members and only six percent of senators.


Carlos Edill Berríos Polanco is the Caribbean correspondent for Latino Rebels, based in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Twitter: @Vaquero2XL